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Long-term temperature prediction with hybrid autoencoder algorithms

This paper proposes two hybrid approaches based on Autoencoders (AEs) for long-term temperature prediction. The first algorithm comprises an AE trained to learn temperature patterns, which is then linked to a second AE, used to detect possible anomalies and provide a final temperature prediction. The second proposed approach involves training an AE and then using the resulting latent space as input of a neural network, which will provide the final prediction output. Both approaches are tested in long-term air temperature prediction in European cities: seven European locations where major heat waves occurred have been considered. The long-term temperature prediction for the entire year of the heatwave events has been analysed. Results show that the proposed approaches can obtain accurate long-term (up to 4 weeks) temperature prediction, improving Persistence and Climatology in the benchmark models compared. In heatwave periods, where the persistence of the temperature is extremely high, our approach beat the persistence operator in three locations and works similarly in the rest of the cases, showing the potential of this AE-based method for long-term temperature prediction.

Availability
197551.136Perpustakaan BIG (Eksternal Harddisk)Available
Detail Information
Series Title
Applied Computing and Geoscience - Open Access
Call Number
551.136
Publisher
Amsterdam : Elsevier.,
Collation
13 hlm PDF, 1.864 KB
Language
Inggris
ISBN/ISSN
2590-1974
Classification
551.136
Content Type
text
Media Type
-
Carrier Type
-
Edition
Vol.23, September 2024
Subject(s)
Autoencoder
Temperature prediction
Hybrid models
Heatwave
Specific Detail Info
-
Statement of Responsibility
Other version/related

No other version available

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  • Long-term temperature prediction with hybrid autoencoder algorithms
    This paper proposes two hybrid approaches based on Autoencoders (AEs) for long-term temperature prediction. The first algorithm comprises an AE trained to learn temperature patterns, which is then linked to a second AE, used to detect possible anomalies and provide a final temperature prediction. The second proposed approach involves training an AE and then using the resulting latent space as input of a neural network, which will provide the final prediction output. Both approaches are tested in long-term air temperature prediction in European cities: seven European locations where major heat waves occurred have been considered. The long-term temperature prediction for the entire year of the heatwave events has been analysed. Results show that the proposed approaches can obtain accurate long-term (up to 4 weeks) temperature prediction, improving Persistence and Climatology in the benchmark models compared. In heatwave periods, where the persistence of the temperature is extremely high, our approach beat the persistence operator in three locations and works similarly in the rest of the cases, showing the potential of this AE-based method for long-term temperature prediction.
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